FIFA World Cup 2026 · 48 teams · 104 matches · June 11 – July 19

The rankings
lied to
everyone.

A match-by-match data story of the first 48-team World Cup — from Mexico's opening kickoff at the Azteca to Ferran Torres's 106th-minute winner in the final. Built on official FIFA rankings and minute-by-minute match data, not memory.

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Prologue — By The Numbers

Bigger, and somehow wilder

The expansion to 48 teams was supposed to water things down: more mismatches, more cautious football, more dead group games. The numbers say the opposite happened.

2.96 goals per match in 2026, the highest of the three tournaments compared here, up from 2.69 in 2022 and 2.64 in 2018 — likely the mismatched group-stage fixtures against newly-qualified sides opening games up. At the same time, discipline actually improved: 2.52 cards per match, down from over 3.4 in both prior tournaments.
ACT I
The Story

From the Azteca to the final whistle

Seventeen matches, chosen not because they were the most important, but because each one tells you something about how this tournament actually played out — chronologically, kickoff to final.

ACT II
Historic, Then Heartbreak

Africa's 90%, and its 85th minute

Nine of Africa's ten teams reached the Round of 32, a 90% qualification rate, the highest of any confederation and historic for the continent. But more than half of them, five of nine, were leading or level with ten minutes to go in that very match, and still went home. Not a vague sense of collapsing late. These five specific matches, minute by minute.

Senegal led Belgium 2–0 with ten minutes left and lost 2–3. That's not a narrow defeat that slipped away, that's a two-goal cushion disappearing in under fifteen minutes of game time.
ACT III
How Close They Came

The ones that got away

The cruelest bucket. These underdogs didn't just compete, they took the lead or drew level deep into extra time before the gap in quality finally told. The final scoreline flattens all of this — the timeline doesn't.

Shock Wins & Statement Draws

When the underdog just won (or just wouldn't lose)

No asterisk, no penalties to explain away for the wins. For the draws, a win/loss column misses the story entirely — these teams didn't beat a heavyweight, they simply refused to lose to one.

ACT IV
Value vs Result

Money doesn't win World Cups

Every team's squad market value plotted against how far they actually went. Top-left is the expensive early exit. Bottom-right is the team that outran its wage bill.

Netherlands had the 8th most valuable squad in the tournament, €765M, and went out in the Round of 32 — the same round as Cape Verde, whose entire squad was worth €95M, about 4% of the Dutch wage bill.
Host Nations

Same stage, three flags

First-ever tri-host World Cup. No home-advantage story to force here — the honest result is that all three hosts landed on exactly the same round.

ACT V
Team Explorer

Every team, every stat

Search, filter, and sort all 48 teams by possession, shots, cards, expected goals, and how far they went. Click any column header to sort.

ACT VI
The Final

Where the attack vanished

Argentina's expected goals across their knockout run, match by match. Four rounds of a team that could not stop creating chances, then the one match where it counted most.

0.20 xG in the final, against 2.16 in the Round of 32, 2.12 in the Round of 16, and 2.00 in the quarterfinal. Argentina's attack didn't fade gradually, it fell off a cliff in the one match they couldn't afford it to.